Bayesian Methods for Estimating the Reliability of Complex Systems Using Heterogeneous Multilevel Information

نویسندگان

  • Jiqiang Guo
  • Alyson G. Wilson
چکیده

We propose a Bayesian approach for assessing the reliability of multicomponent systems. Our models allow us to evaluate system, subsystem, and component reliability using the available multilevel information. Data are collected over time, and include pass/fail, lifetime, censored, and degradation data. We illustrate the methodology through an example and discuss how to extend the approach to more complex systems.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

A Bayesian Networks Approach to Reliability Analysis of a Launch Vehicle Liquid Propellant Engine

This paper presents an extension of Bayesian networks (BN) applied to reliability analysis of an open gas generator cycle Liquid propellant engine (OGLE) of launch vehicles. There are several methods for system reliability analysis such as RBD, FTA, FMEA, Markov Chains, and etc. But for complex systems such as LV, they are not all efficiently applicable due to failure dependencies between compo...

متن کامل

Reliability estimation of Iran's power network

Today, the electricity power system is the most complicated engineering system has ever been made. The integrated power generating stations with power transmission lines has created a network, called complex power network. The reliability estimation of such complex power networks is a very challenging problem, as one cannot find any immediate solution methods in current literature. In this pape...

متن کامل

A Disease Outbreak Prediction Model Using Bayesian Inference: A Case of Influenza

Introduction: One major problem in analyzing epidemic data is the lack of data and high dependency among the available data, which is due to the fact that the epidemic process is not directly observable. Methods: One method for epidemic data analysis to estimate the desired epidemic parameters, such as disease transmission rate and recovery rate, is data ...

متن کامل

Estimation of Products Final Price Using Bayesian Analysis Generalized Poisson Model and Artificial Neural Networks

Estimating the final price of products is of great importance. For manufacturing companies proposing a final price is only possible after the design process over. These companies propose an approximate initial price of the required products to the customers for which some of time and money is required. Here using the existing data of already designed transformers and utilizing the bayesian anal...

متن کامل

Reliability estimation in a multilevel confirmatory factor analysis framework.

Scales with varying degrees of measurement reliability are often used in the context of multistage sampling, where variance exists at multiple levels of analysis (e.g., individual and group). Because methodological guidance on assessing and reporting reliability at multiple levels of analysis is currently lacking, we discuss the importance of examining level-specific reliability. We present a s...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2010